2011年5月14日 星期六

Inflation Expectations

Just to follow up on something I?ve mentioned before: after the commodity correction, plus the fairly tame inflation report, market expectations of future inflation have fallen. Here?s the spread between 10-year Treasuries and inflation-protected versions of the same:

10-year TIPS spread

The market doesn?t have to be right, of course; in fact, I?d say that this spread is much more volatile than it should be. But anyway, inflation fears seem to be subsiding everywhere except on one side of the aisle in Congress.

Nicholas D. Kristof
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Source: http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/05/13/inflation-expectations/

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